NRF Survey: Back-to-school Spending Expected to Reach Record High

Students and their families intend to spend record amounts for school and college supplies as they return to in-person classrooms this fall, according to the annual survey released today by the National Retail Federation and Prosper Insights & Analytics.   

Families with children in elementary through high school plan to spend an average of $848.90 on school items, which is $59 more than last year. Total back-to-school spending is expected to reach a record $37.1 billion, up from $33.9 billion last year and an all-time high in the survey’s history.

College students and their families plan to spend an average of $1,200.32 on college or university items, an increase of $141 over last year. More than half — $80 — of this increase is due to increased spending on electronics and dorm furnishings.

“The pandemic forced parents and their school-aged children to quickly adapt to virtual learning, and they did it with an incredible amount of resolve and flexibility,” said Matthew Shay, president and chief executive officer of the NRF. “We enter the new school year with plans to return to the classroom and retailers are prepared to help Americans find and purchase whatever they need to make this transition as seamless as possible.”

According to the survey, as of early July, 51 percent of K-12 and college shoppers have started shopping for the items they will need when classes resume later this year. Around 39 percent said they took advantage of recent sale events such as Prime Day, Target Deal Days and Walmart’s Deals for Days to shop specifically for school items.

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The majority — 76 percent — of K-12 shoppers were still waiting on lists for school supplies as of earlier this month.

Consumers reported they had completed only 18 percent of their back-to-class purchases so far by early July. Among those with at least half of their shopping left to finish, 51 percent said it was because they did not yet know what they will need and 48 percent said they were still waiting for the best deals. In addition, 43 percent of all back-to-class shoppers said they plan to use money they received from government stimulus to purchase items for the upcoming school year.

While families are planning to spend more on K-12 students in every category, electronics and clothing saw the biggest increases. B-t-s shoppers intend to spend $21 more on average on electronics this year compared with 2020 and $19 more on clothes. Of those planning to purchase electronics, 49 percent plan to buy a laptop, followed by a calculator (32 percent) and a tablet (31 percent).

“Consumers are spending more on items like electronics and clothing as they make plans for students to resume activities in person this fall,” said Phil Rist, executive vice president of strategy for Prosper Insights. “For those in particular with children in elementary school to high school, shoppers are putting the largest portion of their budgets toward electronics, new clothes and accessories.”

The survey found that while online shopping remains a top destination for b-t-s shopping, families are much more comfortable shopping in store this year than last year during the peak of the pandemic.

The most popular destinations for K-12 shoppers are online (48 percent), department stores (48 percent), discount stores (44 percent), clothing stores (41 percent), office supplies stores (27 percent) and electronics stores (27 percent).

For college shoppers, the top destinations include online (43 percent), department stores (33 percent), discount stores (30 percent), office supplies stores (29 percent) and college bookstores (28 percent).

The survey of 7,704 consumers was conducted from July 1 to 8.


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