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The latest Westminster voting intention as part of the YouGov poll of 1,623 UK adults from July 30-31 shows the Conservative Party on 43 percent, with Labour a distant second on 35 percent. The Tories have fallen one percentage point since the last poll from July 22-23, with Labour unchanged. But Labour has not been ahead of the Conservatives for more than a year, with the Tories not dropping below 40 percent for eight successive months.
On January 31 – the day the Prime Minister fulfilled his pledge of delivering Brexit – the YouGov poll showed the Tories with a huge 20-point lead, with voting intention at 49 percent compared to Labour on 29 percent.
This lead increased to a mammoth 24 points on the poll taken on April 2 but began to narrow slightly after Sir Keir became the new Labour leader two days later.
The gap had closed to just six points on May 26, with the Tories on 44 percent to Labour’s 38 percent, but the opposition’s popularity has trailed off in the YouGov polls over the past three months.
Elsewhere in YouGov’s latest Westminster voting intention poll, the Liberal Democrats are on six percent, followed by the Green Party and SNP both on five percent, and Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party trailing on just three percent.
Mr Johnson is also still the favourite among those polled over who they would prefer to lead the country.
A third (33 percent) of those polled by YouGov in the latest survey backed him when asked who they thought would make the best Prime Minister – down three percent from the last poll on June 11-12.
Sir Keir’s support also fell by three percentage points to 31 percent, while 33 percent opted for the “don’t know” option – up four percent from the previous poll.
Mr Johnson and his Conservative Party have maintained a dominant position throughout this year, as Sir Keir struggles to deal with the fallout from a disastrous period for the Labour Party.
The Prime Minister trounced the opposition in December’s general election, securing a huge 80-seat majority in the House of Commons, which ultimately led to him being able to get his Brexit deal voted through Parliament.
Millions of UK voters turned against Labour, with the party’s infamous ‘Red Wall’, which had held the party steady for several decades, collapsing around the opposition.
The humiliating defeat for Mr Corbyn condemned Labour to its worst general election result in recent history, leading to his departure and Sir Keir taking over leadership of the party on April 4.
And, Mr Johnson has managed to maintain his dominant showing, despite his Government coming under increasing criticism over its handling of the current coronavirus crisis.
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They have been accused of not imposing nationwide lockdown restrictions early enough, issuing confusing guidance on the pandemic, a shortage of PPE for frontline NHS staff, and the delayed introduction of the track and trace system.
Last month, political experts told Express.co.uk Sir Keir faces a challenge of “Everest proportions” if the Labour Party is to have any chance of wresting the keys to 10 Downing Street from Mr Johnson and the Tories.
They warned just three months into his new job, the magnitude of the task ahead of Sir Keir was already evident, as would have to create British political history to topple the Prime Minister and the Tories.
John Macdonald, Head of Government Affairs at the Adam Smith Institute think tank, said: “Sir Keir has benefited not only in not being Corbyn, but in demonstrating a degree of competency at the opposition dispatch box not seen in a Labour leader for a long time.
“However, no major party has ever increased their number of MPs by over 60 percent, which Starmer would need to accomplish to win in 2024.
“To do what no opposition party has done before is no ordinary mountain to climb.
“Sir Keir is facing a challenge of Everest proportions. Time will tell if he, or another Labour leader, is the one to make it to the top.”
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